The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised its cash rate rapidly since early last year to curb inflation and anchor expectations. But this phase may be nearing its end. In this article, QTC economists Trent Saunders and Michael Anthonisz have taken a closer look at where the cash rate might go from here, drawing on historical experience and some of the unique challenges facing the economy. They find that while there are good reasons to believe the cash rate is close to its peak, this does not mean that the RBA will cut rates anytime soon.
Economic research: What goes up must come down – When, why and by how much will interest rates be cut